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Trading the News: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)

Updates to the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report may fuel the EUR/USD[1] weakness following the European Central Bank (ECB) [2]meeting as the world’s largest economy is anticipated to add another 180K jobs in February, while the Unemployment Rate is expected to narrow to 3.9% from 4.0% per annum the month prior.

Image of DailyFX economic calendar

Signs of a robust labor market should heighten the appeal of the U.S. dollar[3] as it instills an improved outlook for growth and inflation, and another positive development may undermine the recent shift in the Federal Reserve’s forward-guidance[4] as the central bank pledges to be ‘data dependent.’

In turn, the Federal Open Market Committee[5] (FOMC) may come under pressure to squeeze in a rate-hike later this year as the economy shows little to no signs of an imminent recession, but an NFP print below 180K may fuel the recent rebound in EUR/USD as it encourages the central bank to retain a wait-and-see approach for monetary. Sign up and join DailyFX Currency Analyst David Song LIVE[6]to cover the fresh updates to the U.S. NFP report.

Impact that the U.S. NFP report had on EUR/USD during the last release

Period

Data Released

Estimate

Actual

Pips Change

(1 Hour post event )

Pips Change

(End of Day post event)

JAN

2019

02/01/2019 13:30:00 GMT

165K

304K

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