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Trading the News: U. of Michigan Confidence

Updates to the U. of Michigan Confidence survey may undermine the U.S. dollar[1] strength following the Federal Reserve meeting[2] as the index is expected to narrow to 97.9 from 98.6 in October.

Image of DailyFX economic calendar

Signs of waning household sentiment may push the Federal Reserve to adopt a less-hawkish tone as it casts a weakened outlook for private-sector consumption, one of the leading drivers of growth, and a dismal development may start to sway the monetary policy outlook as it dampens bets for above-neutral interest rates.

In turn, another downtick in the U. of Michigan survey may spark a bearish reaction in the U.S. dollar, but an unexpected improvement in consumer confidence may keep EUR/USD[3] under pressure as it encourages the Federal Open Market Committee[4] (FOMC) to further embark on its hiking-cycle over the coming months. Sign up and join DailyFX Currency Analyst David Song LIVE[5]to cover the U. of Michigan survey.

Impact that the U. of Michigan Confidence survey has had on EUR/USD during the last print

Period

Data Released

Estimate

Actual

Pips Change

(1 Hour post event )

Pips Change

(End of Day post event)

OCT

2018

10/12/2018 14:00:00 GMT

100.5

99.0

+15

+13

October 2018 U. of Michigan Confidence

EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart

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