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Trading the News: New Zealand Retail Sales ex Inflation

Updates to New Zealand’s Retail Sales report may fuel the recent recovery in NZD/USD[1] as household spending is expected to increase 0.3% versus the 0.1% during the first three-months of 2018.

Image of DailyFX economic calendar

Signs of stronger consumption may heighten the appeal of the New Zealand dollar as it instills an improved outlook for growth and inflation, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) may start to drop its cautious tone over the coming months as ‘employment is roughly around its maximum sustainable level.

However, another lackluster development may rattle the rebound in NZD/USD as it encourages the RBNZ to keep the official cash rate (OCR) at the record-low, and Governor Adrian Orr & Co. may stick to the current script at the next meeting on September 27 as officials warn that ‘the recent moderation in growth could last longer.’ Interested in having a broader discussion on current market themes? Sign up and join DailyFX Currency Analyst David Song LIVE[2] for an opportunity to discuss potential trade setups!

Impact that the New Zealand Retail Sales has had on NZD/USD during the last print

Period

Data Released

Estimate

Actual

Pips Change

(1 Hour post event )

Pips Change

(End of Day post event)

1Q

2018

05/20/2018 22:45:00 GMT

1.0%

0.1%

-8

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