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A much-awaited relief came to the larger market as Bitcoin[1] gained 4.70%. Thus, trading at $48,438 at the time of writing. On the back of the sudden BTC gains as a new week took off, the same pulled the global crypto market cap up by 3.51% in one day giving way to a much-needed recovery. 

Hold-up though, is it in fact a recovery?

Well, after the 4 December fall, a couple of days later BTC’s price saw a 6% rise. However, failed to maintain and soon fell further in just a day. Likewise, another close to 5% price recovery was seen on 12 December, then on 15 and 16 December.

 Interestingly, on 19 December 19 as well. Thus, each time a single-day recovery took place over the last fortnight the same failed to sustain. So, questioning the most recent recovery absolutely makes sense. 

Source: TradingView

What changes this time?

Firstly, the recent price uptick took BTC up from the lower $45,850 bounds to above $48K within a day. In addition to that, the loss realization by Short-Term Holders was tapering and setting higher lows, in tandem with a tightening of price action which was a bullish divergence indicating exhaustion of seller interest at these prices.

Source: TXMCTrades[2]

Further, NVT Signal for Bitcoin which generally doesn’t signal “oversold,” very often, was giving an oversold signal at the time of writing This could mean that a reversal from the lower price range was incoming. 

Source: WillyWoo[3]

Earlier, each time the NVTS noted oversold, its recovery from the zone. Also, pushed prices. So, the pertinent question here – Is this a recovery indeed? 

A wave of volatility awaits…

Another striking change in BTC metrics was a jump in the 14-day % change in BTC

Read more from our friends at AMB Crypto