The Currency Scene:
News, Events, and Stories about currency from around the world.

Talking Points:

  • Crude oil prices[1] stall at 2.5-year highs before API, EIA releases
  • Gold prices may pull back on upbeat remarks from Fed officials
  • What is driving long-term crude oil price trends? Find out here[2]

Benchmark commodity prices have made little progress since setting prominent highs mid last week. Crude oil prices will look to the weekly API inventories report as well as the short-term outlook report from the EIA for their next lead. Meanwhile, gold prices may face a bit of selling pressure if upbeat remarks from Fed officials[3] highlight the disparity between officials’ rate hike outlook and that of the markets.

What do retail traders’ bets suggest about gold price[4] trends? Find out here[5]!

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSISGold prices have stalled a bit after touching a four-month high last week. Negative RSI divergence warns that the pause may translate into a larger reversal lower as upside momentum fizzles. A reversal back belowthe 50% Fibonacci expansion at 1312.90 opens the door for another challenge of the 38.2% level at 1294.91. Alternatively, a breach of the 61.8% Fibat 1330.89 targets the 1353.15-57.50 area (76.4% Fib, September 8 high) next.

Crude Oil Prices Stall at 2.5-Year Highs, Gold Eyes Fed-Speak

Chart created using TradingView

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSISCrude oil prices are consolidating gains after hitting the highest level since May 2015. From here, a daily close above the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 62.31 exposes the 50% level 64.32. Alternatively, a reversal back below the 23.6% Fib at 59.83 paves the way for a retest of the 14.6% expansionat 58.30.

Crude Oil Prices Stall at 2.5-Year Highs, Gold Eyes Fed-Speak

Chart created using TradingView

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE[6]

Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak[7]

References

  1. ^ Crude oil prices (www.dailyfx.com)
  2. ^ Find out here (www.dailyfx.com)
  3. ^ remarks from Fed officials (www.dailyfx.com)
  4. ^ gold price (www.dailyfx.com)
  5. ^ Find out here (www.dailyfx.com)
  6. ^ SIGN UP HERE (forms.aweber.com)
  7. ^ @IlyaSpivak (www.twitter.com)

Read more from our friends at Daily FX: